WHITING Merlangius merlangus

Advice 2026/2027

1 320

tonnes

Advice 2025/2026

1 100

tonnes

Advice change

20 %

Publication of Advice: 12th June 2026. Published by Marine and Freshwater Research Institute.


Advice

MFRI advises in accordance with the MSY approach that catches in the fishing year 2026/2027 should be no more than 1 320 tonnes.

Stock development

Stock size is above Itrigger and the fishing pressure is below HRMSY proxy.

Whiting. Catches by gear type, IS-SMB juvenile index (≤ 20 cm), harvest rate proxy, and IS-SMB biomass (≥ 40 cm) index. Shaded area and bars represent 95% CI.

Basis of the assessment and reference points

Basis of the advice

MSY approach

Management plan

There is no management plan for this stock

Assessment type

Trends in biomass indicators

Input data

Commercial catch and survey biomass indices (IS-SMB)

Approach

Reference point

Value

Basis

MSY approach

Itrigger

1 812

Iloss×1.4; Iloss defined as the mean IS-SMB survey index 1985–1999

HRMSY proxy

0.17

Average of the ratio of catch to biomass index for the years for which the fishing pressure proxy relative to MSY proxy (f) > 1, where f = Lmean / LF=M is based on Lc (length at 50% of modal abundance), which varies each year.

Prospects

The ICES framework for category 3 stocks, for which analytical assessment is not possible but trends in biomass indicators are assumed to reflect changes in stock dynamics, method 2.2 (constant harvest rate) was applied (ICES, 2025). The IS-SMB survey index for whiting ≥ 40 cm is multiplied by the HRMSY proxy, a biomass safeguard (b), and a precautionary multiplier (m). The stability clause was applied since the increase from the previous advice is greater than 20%.

Whiting. Advice calculation.

Ay: Catch advice for 2025/2026

1 100

Biomass index

Latest index value (I2026)

18 239

Harvest rate proxy

HRMSY proxy: MSY proxy harvest rate (average of the ratio of catch to biomass index for the years for which f > 1, where f = Lmean / LF = M)

0.173

Biomass safeguard

Index trigger value (Itrigger = Iloss*1.4)

1 812

b: Index relative to trigger value, min(I2026 / Itrigger, 1)

1

Precautionary multiplier to maintain biomass above Blim with 95% probability

m: Multiplier (generic multiplier based on life history)

0.5

Advice calculation1)

1 580

Stability clause (+20% / -30% compared to Ay, only applied if b 1)2)

1

Catch advice for 2026/2027

1 320

% advice change3)

20

1) Ay+1 = Iy × HRMSY proxy × b × m, limited by stability clause

2) min{max(0.7Ay, Ay+1), 1.2Ay}

3) The figures in the table are rounded. Calculations were done with unrounded inputs, and compared values may not match exactly when calculated using the rounded figures in the table.

The advice for this fishing year is higher than the advice for last year because the biomass index has increased.

Quality of the assessment

IS-SMB covers the geographical distribution of the fisheries.

Other information

Recruitment was low in 2009–2014 but has increased since then.

Advice, TAC and Catch

Whiting. Recommended TAC, national TAC, and catches (tonnes).

Fishing year

Recommended TAC

National TAC

Total catch

2019/2020

836

607

2020/2021

1  003

844

2021/2022

1  137

826

2022/2023

1  091

1  263

2023/2024

1  309

722

2024/2025

1  571

694

2025/2026

1  100

2026/2027

1  320

References and further reading

ICES. 2025. ICES Guidelines - Advice rules for stocks in category 2 and 3. Version 3. ICES Guidelines and Policies - Advice Technical Guidelines. 31 pp. https://doi.org/10.17895/ices.pub.28506179

MFRI Assessment Reports 2026. Whiting. Marine and Freshwater Research Institute, 12 June 2026.